BBVA Research proyecta que, si bien la recomposición de los precios regulados continuará durante 2026, la inflación en Argentina mantendrá un sendero descendente, en línea con la dinámica desinflacionaria observada en los últimos meses.
Inflación reciente
En noviembre, la inflación mensual alcanzó el 2,5%, con una variación interanual del 31,4%, superando las estimaciones de consenso del mercado y marcando el registro más alto de los últimos seis meses.
El principal factor detrás de la aceleración fue el aumento del 6,2% en los precios de la carne, que tuvo una incidencia relevante sobre la inflación núcleo, la cual se ubicó en 2,6% mensual.
Componentes
Además del impacto de la carne, BBVA destacó que los precios regulados aceleraron su ritmo, impulsados por subas en:
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Vivienda
-
Electricidad
-
Transporte
La inflación núcleo, con un avance del 2,6%, alcanzó su nivel más alto desde mayo, aunque el informe señala que el efecto de la carne sería transitorio.
Perspectiva 2026
“A pesar de que la recomposición de regulados seguirá presente en los próximos meses, proyectamos que la tendencia general de la economía hacia la desinflación continuará vigente en 2026”, concluye el informe de BBVA Research.
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