La agencia S&P Global Ratings elevó la calificación crediticia soberana de Paraguay en moneda extranjera y local de largo plazo desde BB+ a BBB-, otorgándole además una perspectiva estable.
Fundamentos de la decisión
Desde S&P destacaron la consistencia de las políticas económicas del país, que permitieron una mayor flexibilidad monetaria y fiscal, fortaleciendo la confianza de los inversores.
La calificadora también estima que Paraguay mantendrá déficits moderados de cuenta corriente durante los próximos dos años, en un contexto de crecimiento sostenido.
Proyecciones macroeconómicas
Según el informe:
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Crecimiento del PIB:
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2025: 5,4%
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2026–2027: 4% anual
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Inversión:
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2025: +17%
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2026–2028: alcanzaría el 27% del PBI
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Riesgos y vulnerabilidades
S&P advirtió que, pese a los avances logrados, Paraguay continúa expuesto a vulnerabilidades externas, dado que su economía mantiene una alta dependencia de las exportaciones de materias primas.
Si bien el dinamismo del sector agrícola redujo la dependencia energética, las exportaciones primarias siguen siendo un pilar central del desempeño económico.
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