En su informe Economic Outlook de diciembre, la Organización para la Cooperación y el Desarrollo Económicos (OCDE) recortó el crecimiento de Argentina para 2025 a 4,2%, desde el 4,5% previsto en septiembre.
Para los años siguientes, el organismo proyecta:
-
Crecimiento de 3% en 2026
-
Crecimiento de 3,9% en 2027
Inflación
En materia inflacionaria, la OCDE elevó la estimación anual para 2025 a 41,7%, lo que representa una suba de 1,9 puntos respecto a las proyecciones de septiembre.
Para los años siguientes, las previsiones son:
-
Inflación 2026: pasa de 16,5% a 17,6%
-
Inflación 2027: se ubicaría en 10%
Riesgos
Según el organismo, persisten vulnerabilidades macroeconómicas que exponen al país a cambios abruptos en la confianza, como la reciente volatilidad cambiaria.
La OCDE advierte sobre la posibilidad de nuevos episodios de inestabilidad asociados a:
-
Bajo nivel de reservas internacionales
-
Inflación todavía elevada
-
Necesidad de reformas políticas y estructurales
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