En un webinar organizado por Wise Capital, su CEO Walter Morales proyectó que la actividad económica de Argentina crecería entre 3% y 4% en 2026, mientras que la inflación anual se ubicaría entre 20% y 23%.
Tipo de cambio
Respecto al dólar en Argentina en 2026, Morales sostuvo que, considerando la inflación local y descontando la inflación de Estados Unidos, el tipo de cambio debería ubicarse en torno a $1.830.
Escenario base
No obstante, el escenario más probable que observa Wise Capital ubica al dólar en una banda de $1.600 a $1.700, condicionado al éxito de las reformas estructurales, la implementación del Régimen de Incentivo a las Grandes Inversiones (RIGI) y un mayor crecimiento económico.
Reformas y sectores
Morales afirmó que las reformas que se discutirán en las sesiones extraordinarias del Congreso serán clave para el plan económico y consideró que podrían financiarse sin dificultades, permitiendo una reducción de impuestos equivalente al 4% del PBI.
Entre los sectores beneficiados mencionó:
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Vaca Muerta y energía
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Agro
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Importadores
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Comercio y servicios adaptativos
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