La Bolsa de Comercio de Rosario (BCR) ajustó al alza su proyección de producción de soja para la campaña 2025/26, situándola en 48.000.000 de toneladas. Este incremento de un millón de toneladas respecto al reporte previo responde al excelente estado sanitario y hídrico de los cuadros en el norte y oeste de Argentina, compensando la irregularidad en otras zonas.
Ventana climática crítica para la soja
Pese al optimismo por el aumento del volumen, la entidad advierte que la definición del rendimiento final depende de un factor determinante:
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Próximos 15 días: El período que transcurre es vital para el llenado de granos.
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Dependencia de lluvias: Se requieren precipitaciones inmediatas para sostener este techo productivo, especialmente en los lotes de segunda.
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Regiones Líderes: El oeste y el norte del país hoy actúan como el sostén de la campaña nacional, mostrando rendimientos potenciales por encima del promedio histórico.
Maíz y perspectivas generales
En paralelo, la BCR mantiene sus proyecciones récord para el maíz, consolidando una campaña agrícola que, de acompañar el clima en el tramo final, será una de las más voluminosas de la década.
El mercado queda ahora a la espera de los mapas de lluvias de la segunda quincena de febrero, los cuales confirmarán si este millón de toneladas adicional se consolida en los silos tras la cosecha.
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