La producción brasileña de maíz en la temporada 2024/25 debería totalizar 139,029 millones de toneladas, según el más reciente informe de Safras & Mercado. Esta cifra supera las 135,124 millones de toneladas proyectadas en la estimación anterior, publicada en abril, y las 125,559 millones de toneladas cosechadas en la campaña 2023/24.
De acuerdo con el analista de Safras & Mercado, Paulo Molinari, las buenas lluvias en abril y mayo en la mayoría de las regiones productoras de la segunda cosecha contribuyeron significativamente a este ajuste al alza en la producción brasileña. La excepción son los estados de Minas Gerais y São Paulo, que pueden registrar pérdidas debido al volumen limitado de lluvias en mayo. En general, los rendimientos récord observados en la safrinha reflejan un clima sorprendentemente perfecto en la mayoría de los estados, explicó.
El informe indica una superficie total de 21,282 millones de hectáreas, lo que representa un aumento del 1,4 % respecto a los 20,997 millones de hectáreas cultivados el año pasado. En abril, se preveía una superficie ligeramente menor, de 21,193 millones de hectáreas. El rendimiento pasará de 5.980 kilos por hectárea en 2023/24 a 6.582 kilos por hectárea en 2024/25, superando también los 6.376 kilos proyectados en el informe anterior.
La previsión de Safras indica que la cosecha de verano en la región Centro-Sur alcanzará 24,727 millones de toneladas, repitiendo la estimación de abril. En el año anterior, la cosecha de verano fue de 25,592 millones de toneladas. La superficie cultivada se redujo en un 11,9 %, de 3,972 millones de hectáreas en 2023/24 a 3,498 millones en 2024/25, ya que los productores dieron prioridad al cultivo de soja. El rendimiento medio final de los cultivos fue de 7.068 kilos por hectárea, superando los 6.443 kilos obtenidos en la cosecha de verano 2023/24, explicó Molinari.
Según Molinari, la superficie de la safrinha (segunda cosecha) en la región Centro-Sur debería aumentar un 4,7 %, de 14,71 millones a 15,406 millones de hectáreas, por encima de los 15,317 millones de hectáreas indicados en la previsión anterior.
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It opened two months prior to the fifth Bond film by Eon Productions, You Only Live Twice.
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