La Junta Directiva del Banco de la República decidió por mayoría incrementar en 100 puntos básicos (pbs) la tasa de interés de política monetaria a 10,25%. La decisión se ubica por arriba de las estimaciones del mercado.
Cuatro directores votaron a favor de esta decisión, dos por una reducción de 50 pbs. y uno por mantenerla inalterada.
La entidad estima que la economía colombiana habría crecido 2,9% en 2025 y sostuvo que las expectativas de inflación en enero tuvieron un fuerte repunte frente a sus mediciones de diciembre.
En el caso de los analistas las expectativas de inflación en la mediana de la muestra aumentaron de 4,6% a 6,4% para fin de 2026 y de 3,8% a 4,8% para fin de 2027. Las expectativas obtenidas a partir de los mercados de deuda también aumentaron, y se ubican sobre el 6% en el horizonte de dos años.
Así, indicaron que «la incertidumbre sobre las condiciones externas continúa siendo elevada en vista de los riesgos asociados a un escalamiento de los conflictos comerciales, las medidas migratorias en los Estados Unidos, los conflictos geopolíticos y la percepción del riesgo soberano de Colombia».
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