{"id":71316,"date":"2026-10-21T13:03:27","date_gmt":"2026-10-21T16:03:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/safras.com.br\/es\/?p=71316"},"modified":"2026-10-21T13:03:27","modified_gmt":"2026-10-21T16:03:27","slug":"flavio-bolsonaro-lidera-la-intencion-de-voto-en-brasil","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/safras.com.br\/es\/flavio-bolsonaro-lidera-la-intencion-de-voto-en-brasil\/","title":{"rendered":"Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro lidera la intenci\u00f3n de voto, de cara al balotaje en Brasil"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"model-response-message-contentr_609eef750fbddc78\" class=\"markdown markdown-main-panel md-content enable-luminous-fast-follows enable-updated-hr-color stronger\" dir=\"ltr\" aria-busy=\"false\" aria-live=\"polite\">\n<div><a href=\"https:\/\/safras.com.br\/es\/elecciones-en-brasil-impacto-empate-tecnico\/\"><span style=\"color: #0000ff;\" data-darkreader-inline-color=\"\"><strong>Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro<\/strong><\/span><\/a><b data-path-to-node=\"1\" data-index-in-node=\"0\"> lidera la intenci\u00f3n de voto<\/b> con el 52,1% frente al 47,9% del presidente Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva de cara a la segunda vuelta electoral en Brasil, seg\u00fan un reporte difundido por BTG Pactual. El estudio analiza el comportamiento del electorado e indica que las variaciones en la abstenci\u00f3n no alterar\u00e1n la ventaja del candidato opositor.<\/div>\n<div>\u00abCon flujos normales, la abstenci\u00f3n estrecha la diferencia en la contienda, pero no la invierte\u00bb, se\u00f1alaron los analistas del banco privado. El informe remarca que el ausentismo suele incrementarse en el balotaje, por lo que una reducci\u00f3n de electores ausentes representar\u00eda un hecho in\u00e9dito.<\/div>\n<div><\/div>\n<p><i data-path-to-node=\"3\" data-index-in-node=\"1\"><\/i><\/p>\n<div>La entidad financiera proyecta un escenario base con 5,5 millones de votantes que ingresan y 5,0 millones que salen de los centros de votaci\u00f3n, manteniendo la tasa de participaci\u00f3n nacional. \u00abLo que decide la elecci\u00f3n no es el saldo, sino la composici\u00f3n pol\u00edtica de quienes entran y de quienes salen\u00bb, concluy\u00f3 la firma.<\/div>\n<h3 data-path-to-node=\"8\"><\/h3>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro lidera la intenci\u00f3n de voto con el 52,1% frente al 47,9% del presidente Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva de cara a la segunda vuelta electoral en Brasil, seg\u00fan un reporte difundido por BTG Pactual. El estudio analiza el comportamiento del electorado e indica que las variaciones en la abstenci\u00f3n no alterar\u00e1n la ventaja [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13,"featured_media":71175,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[444],"tags":[140,345,446,239],"commodity":[],"class_list":["post-71316","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-noticias-financieras","tag-bolsonaro","tag-brasil-es","tag-btg","tag-lula"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro lidera la intenci\u00f3n de voto, de cara al balotaje en Brasil - SAFRAS &amp; Mercado<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro lidera la intenci\u00f3n de voto con 52,1% frente a Lula para la segunda vuelta presidencial en Brasil, seg\u00fan un informe de BTG.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/safras.com.br\/es\/flavio-bolsonaro-lidera-la-intencion-de-voto-en-brasil\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro lidera la intenci\u00f3n de voto, de cara al balotaje en Brasil - SAFRAS &amp; 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