Dry weather continues to benefit the coffee harvest in Brazil, which is gaining pace, especially for canephora (robusta/conillon). According to weekly monitoring by SAFRAS, through May 21, 15% of the 24/25 crop had already been reaped. This percentage exceeds the same period last year, which was 12%, and is in line with the 5-year average for the period of the year.
The conillon crop reaches 22% of production, with Rondônia standing out with 33% of its production already reaped. The significant progress seen this week helped offset the delay in 2023, although it still remains below the 26% average achieved over the last 5 years. There is an initial perception, especially in Espírito Santo, that yields are below expectations, which could lead to a downward revision in crop estimates.
The arabica harvest is 11% complete. Last year, at this same time, 7% of production had been reaped. Current progress also exceeds the five-year average of 10%. The expectation for arabica is a larger crop than last year, although the smaller beans observed in the first processed batches are quite worrying.